D4 | Sunday Nov 10 2024 - Monday Nov 11 2024 |
D7 | Wednesday Nov 13 2024 - Thursday Nov 14 2024 |
D5 | Monday Nov 11 2024 - Tuesday Nov 12 2024 |
D8 | Thursday Nov 14 2024 - Friday Nov 15 2024 |
D6 | Tuesday Nov 12 2024 - Wednesday Nov 13 2024 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be
possible based on some model scenarios.
However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt
due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of
organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire
period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe
storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
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